Service

Flood, climate and environmental risk

Before you buy land, plan a programme or insure an asset, it helps to know where water goes and what sits in its way. I map that from satellite data and say how far the map can be trusted.

What you get

  • Flood susceptibility maps built from terrain, rainfall, land cover, soil and drainage.
  • Flood extent for past events, mapped from Sentinel-1 radar.
  • Exposure counts: people, schools, health facilities and roads in each risk tier.
  • Rainfall analysis, including near-real-time rainfall from NASA GPM IMERG.
  • Environmental change over time: vegetation loss, land conversion and urban growth.

Who it's for

Developers and investors screening sites, insurers, emergency planners, NGOs and government agencies.

How it works

  1. QuestionArea and the decision at stake
  2. RecordPast floods from radar, plus conditioning factors
  3. ModelSusceptibility and exposure
  4. ValidateSpatial cross-validation
  5. DeliverMaps, exposure tables and stated limits

Questions clients ask

Is a susceptibility map a flood forecast?

No. It shows where conditions make flooding more likely, not when a flood will happen.

How reliable are these maps?

It depends on the area and the data. GeoAID scored about 0.642 under spatial cross-validation, which suits screening rather than decisions about a single plot. Every map I deliver comes with that kind of number and what it means.

Can you do this for a site outside Lagos?

Yes. The satellite inputs cover Nigeria, Africa and most of the world. The model is rebuilt and validated for each new area.

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